The threat of a filibuster will definitely have a huge effect on his choice - no doubt about it.
I expect he will have learned from some of the other appointments where people weren't vetted terribly well - so he will cover a few more bases on that front.
In the end, his choice will be someone with a more watered-down set of progressive bona fides, but not TOO watered down. But it will most assuredly be someone who will not be objectionable. That will be the key to driving down the repug party even further. Here's how:
- repuglicans will block the nominee because they've decided their path to success is saving the US from socialism, fascism, communism, tyranny, etc. They will NEVER agree with ANYTHING proposed by Obama.
- repugs will need to build their salvation case on petty events and wildly exaggerate.
- the ensuing childish spectacle presented by the repugs will prompt an adult response from Obama and chip away another 3 or 4% approval for the repugs.
This is Obama's approach these days.
Then again, we still have geinther..... so let's just hope for continuous improvement!
About Supreme Court
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